Wednesday, January 29, 2014

Addis Ababa... thoughts


I was in Addis for a few days last week and left the day after the signing of the agreements.

A few things on my mind, since;

-       The level of personalization (if that is a word) of what is now a national crisis is tragic. Speaking to the SPLM/A in Opposition negotiators, a lot of talk was focused on, ‘I lost this’, ‘or I was frustrated in parliament’ or ‘my brother was shot in Juba’, or ‘I will not go back to Juba unless Kiir goes’.  This made it difficult to even ask that we stop navel-gazing and look at the wider issues, especially the suffering of innocent civilians, not involved in the conflict.  It also made me wonder if it is at all possible to negotiate in what is clearly an extremely emotional and hostile environment. What exactly will this political dialogue be about? Are we only looking to settle scores?
-       On the government side, it is quite clear that they perceive this as an abrogation of the Transitional Constitution of the Republic of South Sudan. By this, the government is not necessarily focusing on the failures of the SPLM party to contain its internal differences, but on the actions following.  The GRSS is also quite clear that the detainees will have to be tried in court. There has been little acknowledgement of any extra-judicial killings that might have happened – and this is wrong. We hold the government to a much higher standard – many of us fear that the government did let us down.
-       There was no push by either side to ensure that the accused persons would receive a fair and honest day in court. We all agree that the judicial system in South Sudan is flawed, and that we lack an independent judiciary. Given this, even if the GRSS has credible evidence to try the accused persons, it will be difficult for us as South Sudanese to accept the rulings of a court system we have little faith in. There should have been mechanisms to ensure that any trials would be of the highest standard to ensure we can respect these rulings.
-       The day after the signing of the agreements, accusations went back and forth about breaking of the terms of the agreement. The White Army –underage children with very little understanding of the political issues that drove them to rebellion in the first place, were on the BBC stating their intentions to continue fighting until they install Riek Machar as president.  The government was [accused of] trying to capture as much territory as possible, before the agreement actually went into force, within 24hrs. This was depressing –this meant that innocent civilians were still dying and that perhaps we were too optimistic.
-       We hope that IGAD does take forward our recommendation that a regional body of inquiry is set up to establish the veracity of the Dec 15th & 16th events. There are too many versions going around and too many people (Rebecca Garang, hello) taking advantage of this to do quite a bit of posturing. We need to establish what started this madness, it is important to hold accountable any persons that violated the law – i.e. any party to extra-judicial killings, lootings etc.  Since we became a republic, we like to state that, ‘we are not in the bush, anymore’, we need this clearly understood.
-       We all agree that we need inclusion of key stakeholders in the mediation/ negotiation process. Some of us don’t feel like the teams currently involved have any remaining credibility- and so what we need to be doing right now, is advocating for our inclusion, and developing modalities for inclusion. It is not enough to say- we need civil society, religious leaders, women etc. This is too vague. We need to rally around stakeholders we feel will hold our interests to heart, and will not be using this as an opportunity for individual gain (unfortunately, many of our leaders, do not look beyond the personal).

One overall question I have though, given that this started as an issue within a political party that became a national crisis, do we give these failings legitimacy by taking it to the international level? I am wondering if the role of IGAD and other such institutions is to resolve the internal problems  I should say failures of political parties and persons. For example, David Yau Yau’s negotiating team was in Addis as well. We are not sure if he wants IGAD to carve him a state in South Sudan. But is the sign of things to come? We will all run to the international stage whenever there are issues like this? At what point do certain actions become unconstitutional and where does sovereignty begin and end?

I have more to say on this, but I still need to flesh out my thoughts. I just know that it does not feel right that political dialogue will be mediated on the IGAD stage. For example, are they going to go through the SPLM constitution and manifesto? Are they going to discuss the legislature, the judiciary and the executive organs of government in Addis? Are they discussing power sharing?  Are they going to discuss the establishment of political parties? Are they going to be revising the Transitional Constitution?  Are these not issues that should be discussed in Juba- with the full involvement of the citizenry- who after all have a bigger stake in all this, and who voted and will be voting (insh’allah) come 2015? I’m puzzled.